Bitcoin’s (BTC) volatility has been shrinking in the past few days. The standard deviation of daily Bitcoin returns for the last 30 and 60 days as calculated by the Bitcoin Volatility Index is at 2.63%, the least volatile it has been since November 2020.
Generally, tight ranges are followed by strong price expansions. In 2020, the low volatility period in November was followed by a sharp rally in mid-December, which resulted in a supercycle that carried the price all the way to $64,854 on April 14, 2021.
However, there is no certainty that the volatility expansion will happen only to the upside. The price could break out in either direction. Commentator Vince Prince warned that the high leverage ratio of Bitcoin could trigger a big chunk of stop-losses if the $40,000 support breaks down.
Could Bitcoin start a new up-move or will bears pull the price below the support levels, triggering a sell-off in altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin has been trading near the 20-day exponential moving average ($44,181) for the past few days. Although bulls have not been able to push the price above this resistance, a minor positive is that they have not given up much ground.
If the price turns up from the current level or $41,725.95, the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead resistance at the 20-day EMA and the horizontal resistance at $45,456.
If they do that, the pair could rise to the 50-day simple moving average…